Kalshi puts 2026 midterm volume above $2.5bn, but three rows of its accuracy table do not match their own counts
Kalshi said on 4 November that trading volume on its 2026 US midterm markets had passed $2.5bn, against $1.3bn for the 2024 election cycle, and that favoured candidates won 98% of the races resolved by that morning. The combined figure is consistent with Kalshi's own counts. The percentages printed for House, Senate and Governor races are not.